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CMS-TOP-24-007 ; CERN-EP-2025-061
Observation of a pseudoscalar excess at the top quark pair production threshold
Submitted to Reports on Progress in Physics
Abstract: A search for resonances in top quark pair (t¯t) production in final states with two charged leptons and multiple jets is presented, based on proton-proton collision data collected by the CMS experiment at the CERN LHC at s= 13 TeV, corresponding to 138 fb1. The analysis explores the invariant mass of the t¯t system and two angular observables that provide direct access to the correlation of top quark and antiquark spins. A significant excess of events is observed near the kinematic t¯t threshold compared to the nonresonant production predicted by fixed-order perturbative quantum chromodynamics (pQCD). The observed enhancement is consistent with the production of a color-singlet pseudoscalar (1S[1]0) quasi-bound toponium state, as predicted by nonrelativistic quantum chromodynamics. Using a simplified model for 1S[1]0 toponium, the cross section of the excess above the pQCD prediction is measured to be 8.8 +1.21.4 pb.
Figures & Tables Summary References CMS Publications
Figures

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Figure 1:
Observed (points with statistical error bars) and predicted (stacked colored histograms) mt¯t distribution in three out of nine (chel, chan) bins. In the upper panels, the t¯t histogram shows the FO pQCD prediction after the fit to the data that includes the ηt signal model (whose contribution is not drawn), and the shown event rates are divided by the bin width. The lower panels display the ratio of the data to the FO pQCD+background prediction, with ηt signal overlaid at its best fit ηt cross section (red line). The gray band indicates the postfit uncertainty. The first and last mt¯t bins include all events with reconstructed mt¯t below 360 and above 1300 GeV, respectively, and the drawn bin width is used for the normalization in these bins.

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Figure 1-a:
Observed (points with statistical error bars) and predicted (stacked colored histograms) mt¯t distribution in one out of nine bins (chel[1,1/3], chan[1,1/3]). In the upper panel, the t¯t histogram shows the FO pQCD prediction after the fit to the data that includes the ηt signal model (whose contribution is not drawn), and the shown event rates are divided by the bin width. The lower panel displays the ratio of the data to the FO pQCD+background prediction, with ηt signal overlaid at its best fit ηt cross section (red line). The gray band indicates the postfit uncertainty. The first and last mt¯t bins include all events with reconstructed mt¯t below 360 and above 1300 GeV, respectively, and the drawn bin width is used for the normalization in these bins.

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Figure 1-b:
Observed (points with statistical error bars) and predicted (stacked colored histograms) mt¯t distribution in one out of nine bins (chel[1/3,1/3], chan[1/3,1/3]). In the upper panel, the t¯t histogram shows the FO pQCD prediction after the fit to the data that includes the ηt signal model (whose contribution is not drawn), and the shown event rates are divided by the bin width. The lower panel displays the ratio of the data to the FO pQCD+background prediction, with ηt signal overlaid at its best fit ηt cross section (red line). The gray band indicates the postfit uncertainty. The first and last mt¯t bins include all events with reconstructed mt¯t below 360 and above 1300 GeV, respectively, and the drawn bin width is used for the normalization in these bins.

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Figure 1-c:
Observed (points with statistical error bars) and predicted (stacked colored histograms) mt¯t distribution in one out of nine bins (chel[1/3,1], chan[1/3,1]). In the upper panel, the t¯t histogram shows the FO pQCD prediction after the fit to the data that includes the ηt signal model (whose contribution is not drawn), and the shown event rates are divided by the bin width. The lower panel displays the ratio of the data to the FO pQCD+background prediction, with ηt signal overlaid at its best fit ηt cross section (red line). The gray band indicates the postfit uncertainty. The first and last mt¯t bins include all events with reconstructed mt¯t below 360 and above 1300 GeV, respectively, and the drawn bin width is used for the normalization in these bins.

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Figure 2:
Observed (points with statistical error bars) and predicted (stacked colored histograms) distributions. Left: chel for mt¯t< 360 GeV and integrated over chan, from the nominal fit using mt¯t. Right: mbb integrated over chel and chan, from the alternative fit using mbb instead of mt¯t, which is discussed in Section 4.1. In the upper panels, the t¯t histogram shows the FO pQCD prediction after the fit to the data that includes the ηt signal model (whose contribution is not drawn). On the right, the shown event rates are divided by the bin width. The lower panels display the ratio of the data to the FO pQCD+background prediction, with ηt signal overlaid at its best fit ηt cross section (red line). The gray band indicates the postfit uncertainty. The first and last mbb bins include all events with reconstructed mbb below 100 and above 750 GeV, respectively, and the drawn bin width is used for the normalization in these bins.

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Figure 2-a:
Observed (points with statistical error bars) and predicted (stacked colored histograms) chel distribution for mt¯t< 360 GeV and integrated over chan, from the nominal fit using mt¯t. In the upper panel, the t¯t histogram shows the FO pQCD prediction after the fit to the data that includes the ηt signal model (whose contribution is not drawn). The lower panel displays the ratio of the data to the FO pQCD+background prediction, with ηt signal overlaid at its best fit ηt cross section (red line). The gray band indicates the postfit uncertainty.

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Figure 2-b:
Observed (points with statistical error bars) and predicted (stacked colored histograms) mbb distribution integrated over chel and chan, from the alternative fit using mbb instead of mt¯t, which is discussed in Section 4.1. In the upper panel, the t¯t histogram shows the FO pQCD prediction after the fit to the data that includes the ηt signal model (whose contribution is not drawn). The shown event rates are divided by the bin width. The lower panel displays the ratio of the data to the FO pQCD+background prediction, with ηt signal overlaid at its best fit ηt cross section (red line). The gray band indicates the postfit uncertainty. The first and last mbb bins include all events with reconstructed mbb below 100 and above 750 GeV, respectively, and the drawn bin width is used for the normalization in these bins.

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Figure 3:
Best fit value (cross) and allowed regions at one (solid line), three (dashed line), and five (dotted-dashed line) SDs for the cross section of ηt and χt production, as observed in data (black). The FO pQCD+background expectation of zero ηt and χt contributions is denoted by a pink star. Negative cross section values refer to a reduction of the t¯t production cross sections with respect to the FO pQCD+background prediction around the threshold.

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Figure 4:
Observed (points with statistical error bars) and predicted (stacked colored histograms) mt¯t distribution in the (chel, chan) bin with the highest expected ηt contribution (left) and chel distribution for mt¯t< 360 GeV and integrated over chan (right). In the upper panels, the histograms account only for the FO pQCD+background prediction, and are shown after the background-only fit to the data. On the left, the shown event rates are divided by the bin width. The lower panels display the ratio of the data to the FO pQCD+background prediction. The gray band indicates the postfit uncertainty. The binning is the same as in Figs. 1 and 2 (left).

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Figure 4-a:
Observed (points with statistical error bars) and predicted (stacked colored histograms) mt¯t distribution in the (chel, chan) bin with the highest expected ηt contribution. In the upper panel, the histograms account only for the FO pQCD+background prediction, and are shown after the background-only fit to the data. The shown event rates are divided by the bin width. The lower panel displays the ratio of the data to the FO pQCD+background prediction. The gray band indicates the postfit uncertainty. The binning is the same as in Figs. 1.

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Figure 4-b:
Observed (points with statistical error bars) and predicted (stacked colored histograms) chel distribution for mt¯t< 360 GeV and integrated over chan. In the upper panel, the histograms account only for the FO pQCD+background prediction, and are shown after the background-only fit to the data. The lower panel displays the ratio of the data to the FO pQCD+background prediction. The gray band indicates the postfit uncertainty. The binning is the same as in Fig. 2-a.

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Figure 5:
For the nuisance parameters listed in the left column, the pulls (ˆθθ0)/Δθ (middle column), where ˆθ and θ0 are the postfit and prefit values of the nuisance parameters and Δθ is the prefit uncertainty, are shown for the FO pQCD+background+ηt (black filled circles) and FO pQCD+background (gray empty circles) fit, as well as the impacts Δˆσ(ηt) (right column) for the FO pQCD+background+ηt fit. The impact Δˆσ(ηt) for a nuisance parameter θ is calculated by varying θ by ±1 SD and evaluating the shift in σ(ηt). The nuisance parameters are ordered by the maximum of their ±1 SD impacts in the FO pQCD+background+ηt fit.

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Figure 6:
Ratios of the predictions for POWHEG v2 hvq+HERWIG (gray) as well as POWHEG vRES bb4l+PYTHIA (orange) to POWHEG v2 hvq+PYTHIA (black) for mt¯t (left), chel at the t¯t threshold (mt¯t< 360 GeV, center), and chel in the t¯t continuum (600 <mt¯t< 800 GeV, right), both integrated over chan. The effect of adding ηt to POWHEG v2 hvq+PYTHIA is shown in red for comparison. The binning is the same as in Figs. 1 and 2 (left).

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Figure 6-a:
Ratios of the predictions for POWHEG v2 hvq+HERWIG (gray) as well as POWHEG vRES bb4l+PYTHIA (orange) to POWHEG v2 hvq+PYTHIA (black) for mt¯t The effect of adding ηt to POWHEG v2 hvq+PYTHIA is shown in red for comparison. The binning is the same as in Figs. 1.

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Figure 6-b:
Ratios of the predictions for POWHEG v2 hvq+HERWIG (gray) as well as POWHEG vRES bb4l+PYTHIA (orange) to POWHEG v2 hvq+PYTHIA (black) for chel at the t¯t threshold (mt¯t< 360 GeV), integrated over chan. The effect of adding ηt to POWHEG v2 hvq+PYTHIA is shown in red for comparison. The binning is the same as in Fig 2-a.

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Figure 6-c:
Ratios of the predictions for POWHEG v2 hvq+HERWIG (gray) as well as POWHEG vRES bb4l+PYTHIA (orange) to POWHEG v2 hvq+PYTHIA (black) for chel in the t¯t continuum (600 <mt¯t< 800 GeV), integrated over chan. The effect of adding ηt to POWHEG v2 hvq+PYTHIA is shown in red for comparison. The binning is the same as in Fig 2-a.
Tables

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Table 1:
Results for σ(ηt) obtained with different simulated event samples for the FO pQCD t¯t (+tW) prediction. Nuisance parameters encoding the difference between different generators are not included in these results. The nominal result, i.e.,, POWHEG v2 hvq+PYTHIA including these nuisance parameters, is shown for comparison.
Summary
We report the observation of resonant top quark-antiquark (t¯t) production near the kinematic production threshold, with spin properties consistent with contributions from a pseudoscalar state, using proton-proton collision data recorded by the CMS experiment at s= 13 TeV in 2016-2018 and corresponding to an integrated luminosity of 138 fb1. The data is compared to the standard model prediction including only nonresonant t¯t production obtained with fixed-order calculations in perturbative quantum chromodynamics. An excess is observed with respect to this model, with a statistical significance exceeding five standard deviations. We emphasize, however, that the modeling of the t¯t threshold region is challenging and requires further theoretical investigation. It is worth noting that alternative explanations of the excess are also plausible, given the current experimental resolution of the t¯t invariant mass; we explore this direction further in Ref. [20]. The result is compatible with the formation of a 1S[1]0 toponium quasi-bound state ηt with a measured cross section of σ(ηt)= 8.8 +1.21.4 pb, based on a simplified model inspired by nonrelativistic quantum chromodynamics.
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