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CMS-PAS-TOP-17-011
Measurement of the single top quark and antiquark production cross sections in the $t$ channel and their ratio in pp collisions at $\sqrt{s} = $ 13 TeV
Abstract: The cross sections for the production of single top quarks and antiquarks in the $t$ channel, and their ratio, are measured in proton-proton collisions at a center-of-mass energy of 13 TeV. The full data set recorded in 2016 by the CMS detector at the LHC is analyzed, corresponding to an integrated luminosity of 35.9 fb$^{-1}$. Events with one muon or electron and two jets are selected, where one of the two jets is identified as originating from a bottom quark. A multivariate discriminator exploiting several kinematic variables is applied to separate signal from background events. The ratio $R_{t\mathrm{\text{-}ch.}}$ of the cross sections is measured to be 1.65 $\pm$ 0.02 (stat) $\pm$ 0.04 (syst). The total cross section for the production of single top quarks or antiquarks is measured to be 219.0 $\pm$ 1.5 (stat) $\pm$ 33.0 (syst) pb and the absolute value of the CKM matrix element $V_{\mathrm{tb}}$ is determined to be 1.00 $\pm$ 0.05 (exp) $\pm$ 0.02 (theo). All results are in agreement with the standard model predictions.
Figures & Tables Summary References CMS Publications
Figures

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Figure 1:
Leading-order Feynman diagrams for the electroweak production of a single top quark (left) and a single top antiquark (right). The flavor of the light quark in the initial state - either up-type (u) or down-type (d) - defines whether a top quark or top antiquark is produced.

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Figure 1-a:
Leading-order Feynman diagrams for the electroweak production of a single top quark (left) and a single top antiquark (right). The flavor of the light quark in the initial state - either up-type (u) or down-type (d) - defines whether a top quark or top antiquark is produced.

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Figure 1-b:
Leading-order Feynman diagrams for the electroweak production of a single top quark (left) and a single top antiquark (right). The flavor of the light quark in the initial state - either up-type (u) or down-type (d) - defines whether a top quark or top antiquark is produced.

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Figure 2:
Fit to the ${m_{\mathrm {T}}^{\mathrm {W}}}$ distribution for events with muons (left) and to the ${{p_{\mathrm {T}}} ^\text {miss}}$ distribution for events with electrons (right) in the 2-jets-1-tag (upper row), 3-jets-1-tag (middle row), and the 2-jets-0-tags categories. The QCD template is extracted from a sideband region in data. For the fit, only statistical uncertainties are considered.

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Figure 2-a:
Fit to the ${m_{\mathrm {T}}^{\mathrm {W}}}$ distribution for events with muons (left) and to the ${{p_{\mathrm {T}}} ^\text {miss}}$ distribution for events with electrons (right) in the 2-jets-1-tag (upper row), 3-jets-1-tag (middle row), and the 2-jets-0-tags categories. The QCD template is extracted from a sideband region in data. For the fit, only statistical uncertainties are considered.

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Figure 2-b:
Fit to the ${m_{\mathrm {T}}^{\mathrm {W}}}$ distribution for events with muons (left) and to the ${{p_{\mathrm {T}}} ^\text {miss}}$ distribution for events with electrons (right) in the 2-jets-1-tag (upper row), 3-jets-1-tag (middle row), and the 2-jets-0-tags categories. The QCD template is extracted from a sideband region in data. For the fit, only statistical uncertainties are considered.

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Figure 2-c:
Fit to the ${m_{\mathrm {T}}^{\mathrm {W}}}$ distribution for events with muons (left) and to the ${{p_{\mathrm {T}}} ^\text {miss}}$ distribution for events with electrons (right) in the 2-jets-1-tag (upper row), 3-jets-1-tag (middle row), and the 2-jets-0-tags categories. The QCD template is extracted from a sideband region in data. For the fit, only statistical uncertainties are considered.

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Figure 2-d:
Fit to the ${m_{\mathrm {T}}^{\mathrm {W}}}$ distribution for events with muons (left) and to the ${{p_{\mathrm {T}}} ^\text {miss}}$ distribution for events with electrons (right) in the 2-jets-1-tag (upper row), 3-jets-1-tag (middle row), and the 2-jets-0-tags categories. The QCD template is extracted from a sideband region in data. For the fit, only statistical uncertainties are considered.

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Figure 2-e:
Fit to the ${m_{\mathrm {T}}^{\mathrm {W}}}$ distribution for events with muons (left) and to the ${{p_{\mathrm {T}}} ^\text {miss}}$ distribution for events with electrons (right) in the 2-jets-1-tag (upper row), 3-jets-1-tag (middle row), and the 2-jets-0-tags categories. The QCD template is extracted from a sideband region in data. For the fit, only statistical uncertainties are considered.

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Figure 2-f:
Fit to the ${m_{\mathrm {T}}^{\mathrm {W}}}$ distribution for events with muons (left) and to the ${{p_{\mathrm {T}}} ^\text {miss}}$ distribution for events with electrons (right) in the 2-jets-1-tag (upper row), 3-jets-1-tag (middle row), and the 2-jets-0-tags categories. The QCD template is extracted from a sideband region in data. For the fit, only statistical uncertainties are considered.

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Figure 3:
The three most important input variables for the training of the BDTs in the muon channel (left) and in the electron channel (right). The variables are ordered by their importance in the training. The simulation is normalized to the amount of data. The shaded areas correspond to the statistical uncertainties.

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Figure 3-a:
The three most important input variables for the training of the BDTs in the muon channel (left) and in the electron channel (right). The variables are ordered by their importance in the training. The simulation is normalized to the amount of data. The shaded areas correspond to the statistical uncertainties.

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Figure 3-b:
The three most important input variables for the training of the BDTs in the muon channel (left) and in the electron channel (right). The variables are ordered by their importance in the training. The simulation is normalized to the amount of data. The shaded areas correspond to the statistical uncertainties.

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Figure 3-c:
The three most important input variables for the training of the BDTs in the muon channel (left) and in the electron channel (right). The variables are ordered by their importance in the training. The simulation is normalized to the amount of data. The shaded areas correspond to the statistical uncertainties.

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Figure 3-d:
The three most important input variables for the training of the BDTs in the muon channel (left) and in the electron channel (right). The variables are ordered by their importance in the training. The simulation is normalized to the amount of data. The shaded areas correspond to the statistical uncertainties.

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Figure 3-e:
The three most important input variables for the training of the BDTs in the muon channel (left) and in the electron channel (right). The variables are ordered by their importance in the training. The simulation is normalized to the amount of data. The shaded areas correspond to the statistical uncertainties.

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Figure 3-f:
The three most important input variables for the training of the BDTs in the muon channel (left) and in the electron channel (right). The variables are ordered by their importance in the training. The simulation is normalized to the amount of data. The shaded areas correspond to the statistical uncertainties.

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Figure 4:
The fourth and fifth most important input variables for the training of the BDTs in the muon channel (left) and in the electron channel (right). The simulation is normalized to the amount of data. The shaded areas correspond to the statistical uncertainties.

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Figure 4-a:
The fourth and fifth most important input variables for the training of the BDTs in the muon channel (left) and in the electron channel (right). The simulation is normalized to the amount of data. The shaded areas correspond to the statistical uncertainties.

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Figure 4-b:
The fourth and fifth most important input variables for the training of the BDTs in the muon channel (left) and in the electron channel (right). The simulation is normalized to the amount of data. The shaded areas correspond to the statistical uncertainties.

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Figure 4-c:
The fourth and fifth most important input variables for the training of the BDTs in the muon channel (left) and in the electron channel (right). The simulation is normalized to the amount of data. The shaded areas correspond to the statistical uncertainties.

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Figure 4-d:
The fourth and fifth most important input variables for the training of the BDTs in the muon channel (left) and in the electron channel (right). The simulation is normalized to the amount of data. The shaded areas correspond to the statistical uncertainties.

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Figure 5:
BDT output distribution in the 2-jets-1-tag category (upper row), the 3-jets-1-tag category (middle row), and the 3-jets-2-tags category (lower row) for positively charged muons (left column) and electrons (right column). The different processes are scaled to the corresponding fit results. In each figure, the relative difference between the fitted distribution and the distribution in data is shown. The shaded areas correspond to the post-fit uncertainties.

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Figure 5-a:
BDT output distribution in the 2-jets-1-tag category (upper row), the 3-jets-1-tag category (middle row), and the 3-jets-2-tags category (lower row) for positively charged muons (left column) and electrons (right column). The different processes are scaled to the corresponding fit results. In each figure, the relative difference between the fitted distribution and the distribution in data is shown. The shaded areas correspond to the post-fit uncertainties.

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Figure 5-b:
BDT output distribution in the 2-jets-1-tag category (upper row), the 3-jets-1-tag category (middle row), and the 3-jets-2-tags category (lower row) for positively charged muons (left column) and electrons (right column). The different processes are scaled to the corresponding fit results. In each figure, the relative difference between the fitted distribution and the distribution in data is shown. The shaded areas correspond to the post-fit uncertainties.

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Figure 5-c:
BDT output distribution in the 2-jets-1-tag category (upper row), the 3-jets-1-tag category (middle row), and the 3-jets-2-tags category (lower row) for positively charged muons (left column) and electrons (right column). The different processes are scaled to the corresponding fit results. In each figure, the relative difference between the fitted distribution and the distribution in data is shown. The shaded areas correspond to the post-fit uncertainties.

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Figure 5-d:
BDT output distribution in the 2-jets-1-tag category (upper row), the 3-jets-1-tag category (middle row), and the 3-jets-2-tags category (lower row) for positively charged muons (left column) and electrons (right column). The different processes are scaled to the corresponding fit results. In each figure, the relative difference between the fitted distribution and the distribution in data is shown. The shaded areas correspond to the post-fit uncertainties.

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Figure 5-e:
BDT output distribution in the 2-jets-1-tag category (upper row), the 3-jets-1-tag category (middle row), and the 3-jets-2-tags category (lower row) for positively charged muons (left column) and electrons (right column). The different processes are scaled to the corresponding fit results. In each figure, the relative difference between the fitted distribution and the distribution in data is shown. The shaded areas correspond to the post-fit uncertainties.

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Figure 5-f:
BDT output distribution in the 2-jets-1-tag category (upper row), the 3-jets-1-tag category (middle row), and the 3-jets-2-tags category (lower row) for positively charged muons (left column) and electrons (right column). The different processes are scaled to the corresponding fit results. In each figure, the relative difference between the fitted distribution and the distribution in data is shown. The shaded areas correspond to the post-fit uncertainties.

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Figure 6:
BDT output distribution in the 2-jets-1-tag category (upper row), the 3-jets-1-tag category (middle row), and the 3-jets-2-tags category (lower row) for negatively charged muons (left column) and electrons (right column). The different processes are scaled to the corresponding fit results. In each figure, the relative difference between the fitted distribution and the distribution in data is shown. The shaded areas correspond to the post-fit uncertainties.

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Figure 6-a:
BDT output distribution in the 2-jets-1-tag category (upper row), the 3-jets-1-tag category (middle row), and the 3-jets-2-tags category (lower row) for negatively charged muons (left column) and electrons (right column). The different processes are scaled to the corresponding fit results. In each figure, the relative difference between the fitted distribution and the distribution in data is shown. The shaded areas correspond to the post-fit uncertainties.

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Figure 6-b:
BDT output distribution in the 2-jets-1-tag category (upper row), the 3-jets-1-tag category (middle row), and the 3-jets-2-tags category (lower row) for negatively charged muons (left column) and electrons (right column). The different processes are scaled to the corresponding fit results. In each figure, the relative difference between the fitted distribution and the distribution in data is shown. The shaded areas correspond to the post-fit uncertainties.

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Figure 6-c:
BDT output distribution in the 2-jets-1-tag category (upper row), the 3-jets-1-tag category (middle row), and the 3-jets-2-tags category (lower row) for negatively charged muons (left column) and electrons (right column). The different processes are scaled to the corresponding fit results. In each figure, the relative difference between the fitted distribution and the distribution in data is shown. The shaded areas correspond to the post-fit uncertainties.

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Figure 6-d:
BDT output distribution in the 2-jets-1-tag category (upper row), the 3-jets-1-tag category (middle row), and the 3-jets-2-tags category (lower row) for negatively charged muons (left column) and electrons (right column). The different processes are scaled to the corresponding fit results. In each figure, the relative difference between the fitted distribution and the distribution in data is shown. The shaded areas correspond to the post-fit uncertainties.

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Figure 6-e:
BDT output distribution in the 2-jets-1-tag category (upper row), the 3-jets-1-tag category (middle row), and the 3-jets-2-tags category (lower row) for negatively charged muons (left column) and electrons (right column). The different processes are scaled to the corresponding fit results. In each figure, the relative difference between the fitted distribution and the distribution in data is shown. The shaded areas correspond to the post-fit uncertainties.

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Figure 6-f:
BDT output distribution in the 2-jets-1-tag category (upper row), the 3-jets-1-tag category (middle row), and the 3-jets-2-tags category (lower row) for negatively charged muons (left column) and electrons (right column). The different processes are scaled to the corresponding fit results. In each figure, the relative difference between the fitted distribution and the distribution in data is shown. The shaded areas correspond to the post-fit uncertainties.

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Figure 7:
Estimated relative contributions of the listed uncertainty sources in% to the total uncertainties of the measured cross sections for top quark production and top antiquark production, and of the cross section ratio $R_{t\text {-ch.}}$. For the externalized signal modeling uncertainties, the values correspond to their relative uncertainties (first four entries). The other values are obtained by performing the fit again for each uncertainty source, with the corresponding nuisance parameter fixed to its optimal fit value and by calculating the resulting relative change in the cross sections, or cross section ratio, to the nominal ones.

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Figure 8:
Comparison of the measured $R_{\textit {t}\text {-ch.}}$ (dotted line) with the prediction from different PDF sets: NNPDF3.0 NLO [17], NNPDF3.1 NNLO [56], CT14 NLO [57], ABMP16 NNLO [58], MMHT2014 NLO [59], HERAPDF2.0 NLO [60]. The {powheg} 4FS calculation is used with a nominal value for the top quark mass of 172.5 GeV. The uncertainty bars for the different PDF sets include the statistical uncertainty, the uncertainty due to the factorization and renormalization scales, derived by varying both of them by a factor 0.5 and 2, and the uncertainty in the top quark mass, derived by varying the top quark mass between 171.5 and 173.5 GeV. For the measurement, the inner and outer uncertainty bars correspond to the statistical and total uncertainty, respectively.
Tables

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Table 1:
Event yields for the relevant processes in the 2-jets-1-tag category after applying the full event selection in the muon and electron channels for an integrated luminosity of 35.9 fb$^{-1}$. Statistical and systematic uncertainties are considered. The yields are obtained from simulation (using the 4FS prediction for the $t$-channel signal process and 5FS for the tW process), except for the QCD multijet contribution, which is derived from data (see Section xxxxx).

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Table 2:
Input variables for the BDTs. The variables ${m_{\mathrm {T}}^{\mathrm {W}}}$ and lepton $|\eta |$ are only used in the training of events with a muon, while ${{p_{\mathrm {T}}} ^\text {miss}}$ is only used as input for events with an electron.

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Table 3:
Estimated relative contributions of the listed uncertainty sources in% to the total uncertainties of the measured cross sections for top quark production and top antiquark production, and of the cross section ratio $R_{t\text {-ch.}}$. For the externalized signal modeling uncertainties, the values correspond to their relative uncertainties (first four entries). The other values are obtained by performing the fit again for each uncertainty source, with the corresponding nuisance parameter fixed to its optimal fit value and by calculating the resulting relative change in the cross sections, or cross section ratio, to the nominal ones.
Summary
A measurement of the ratio of the cross sections for the $t$-channel single top quark and single top antiquark production has been presented. The analysis uses events with one muon or electron and multiple jets in the final state to measure the cross sections for the production of single top quarks and of single top antiquarks, along with the ratio of the two processes. The measured ratio of the cross sections of the two processes of $R_{t\mathrm{\text{-}ch.}}= 1.65 \pm 0.05 $ is compared to recent predictions using different parton distribution functions (PDFs) to describe the inner structure of the proton. Good agreement with most PDF sets is found within the uncertainties of the measurement. The measured cross sections are $\sigma_{t\mathrm{\text{-}ch.,t}} = $ 136.3 $\pm$ 20.0 pb for the production of single top quarks, $\sigma_{t\mathrm{\text{-}ch.,\bar{t}}} = $ 82.7 $\pm$ 13.1 pb for the production of single top antiquarks, and $\sigma_{t\mathrm{\text{-}ch.,t+\bar{t}}}= $ 219.0 $\pm$ 33.1 pb for the total cross section. The latter result is used to calculate the absolute value of the Cabibbo-Kobayashi-Maskawa matrix element $|\mathrm{f_{LV}}V_{\mathrm{tb}}| = $ 1.00 $\pm$ 0.05 (exp) $\pm$ 0.02 (theo). All results are, within the reported uncertainties, in agreement with recent standard model predictions. With the increased data set used in this analysis, the statistical uncertainty plays only a minor role for the achieved precision of the measurement, which is limited by the systematic uncertainties in the modeling of the signal process. Deeper understanding of these effects and improved procedures to estimate the uncertainty are therefore crucial to further decrease the systematic uncertainty. Because of the cancellation of systematic effects when measuring the ratio of cross sections, the precision of the measurement of $R_{t\mathrm{\text{-}ch.}}$ reported in this article is, however, significantly improved with respect to the results of previous measurements. The total uncertainty in the measured $R_{t\mathrm{\text{-}ch.}}$ is now only about two times the size of the uncertainty in the predictions from theory and the result can already be used to test the predictions from different PDF sets for their compatibility with measured data.
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Compact Muon Solenoid
LHC, CERN